Sudhir Gota's excellent, detailed and still simple post on Bangalore (link via the sustran group) is a must-read, if only for the photos. While I've visited Bangalore a few times, I've never stayed there. Via blogs, and a couple of friends, I'd heard of the traffic chaos in the green city. I'd assumed it was because of fly-overs and such-like. But there's clearly more to it. Read Sudhir's post to get a sense of how bad urban planning can make life hell for it's residents.
While Bangalore is now facing the consequences of a car-friendly Government urban policy (i.e. priority for roads over rail, buses, etc.), Mumbai has been seeing it for time immemorial. In all the debates and controversies over the Peddar Road Flyover and the Bandra-Worli-Nariman Point Sea Link, not even half the attention has been given to transport systems from the Metro to bus rapid-transport systems.
There's a thought process at work here goes like - more roads = less traffic. Now, I'm not an urban planner, but in Mumbai, 88% of commuters use public transport. So by any logic, any policy that focuses on flyovers and sea-links over rail and bus has to be, at best, questionable.
And yet, for as long back as I can remember, the conventional way of measuring Mumbai's infrastructure progress is by asking how many new roads and flyovers are getting added. Which suits politicians well because roads and flyovers are easier to build and become vote-winning propositions. Yet, I doubt this line of logic is ever going to change.
And yet, any Mumbaikar can tell you that traffic in Mumbai is just going haywire. Sure, that's always been the case, but that's not the point. The development and expansion of the Western and Eastern Express Highways were much-needed relief for the far-flung suburbs. But picture this for a moment - with all the development in Central Mumbai (i.e. Lower Parel and the surrounding Mill Land areas), where are the roads to support them? For all the hype and hoopla, the Bandra Worli Sealink will not really solve the problem because it will offload all the vehicles at Love Grove Junction on one side and the Bandra Reclamation junction on the other. What about dispersal from there?
The issue at the core is much larger than a sealink or a road or a flyover or a Worli, Bandra or whatever. The issue is the thinking. Let me put that in perspective for you. Forty-six years ago, in 1962, our urban planners thought of sealinks to connect the island city to the suburbs. In 1968, the planners thought of underground rail. Till date, nothing has been achieved.
We're in 2008 now. All the phases of the Metro will be functioning anywhere between 2011-2012 (best case). The MUTP should have expanded the rail capacity by then and - hopefully - some kind person would have consented to the Bus Rapid Transit System (BRTS). My guess is with that, we should have taken care of our current requirements.
But here's the thing. Way back in the 70s, something called New Bombay was thought of. A few years back, the Special Economic Zones were mooted by the Ambanis. Till date, nothing meaningul has happened on either front. Almost all of the expansion and development in the last few decades has remained concentrated in Mumbai (with some suburbs like Andheri and Malad opening up to the services sector).
Question - why have we not thought of creating more Mumbai's around Mumbai?
It's that simple really in the end. The more you build, the more they will come. People, cars, etc. Look at how it's wreaking havoc in Bangalore. Our planners probably knew this in the 60s and the 70s. But nothing was done.
I don't think the planners and the politicians can take that same risk now. Else Mumbai 2050 (with a population exceeding Australia and perhaps many other Western countries by then) would make our current Mumbai look like Utopia.
Friday, March 21, 2008
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13 comments:
Very relevant. I was happy to note that in the Secon report right on top of the list of references they mention "Apshalt Nation' a book which I mentioned in my first few blog posts of February 2007 in defence of public transport.
I am a passionate votary of public transport not only from the urban development and environment perspective but also for a city like mumbai, think of the social fabric it supports. Private transport creates isolation- but that is a topic of maybe an entire post over at my blog.
As they say in their note-how to demotorise and environmental accidents are not covered and are topics for future research and that is really critical.
In context of Mumbai 2050, there is a high likelihood that there won't be a Mumbai 2050.
It will die, crumble under its own weight. The metros will collapse and the drains, gas and water pipelines burst with the digging and tunnelling and blasting and skyscrapers in CRZ zones and hills. This kind of devt, with little thought to sophisticated tools and safety norms that would normally be deployed in world best cities. And no guesses as to how many lives will be lost during the process of this infra thrust. Just see the open ditches and jutting wires everywhere.
Whether in a man-made or environmental disaster, the land will be levelled and cleaned. Think 26/7 if you feel I am being melodramatic or pessimistic. Nature has a way of levelling the atrocities man, in this case politicians, urban non-planners and citizens inflict on her.
Of saying - This much and no more! In her, the perperator will find their match. And the ones who survive to live another day may heave a sigh of relief and say a prayer that they are alive to pick the pieces. Mumbai 2050, may arrive earlier or a wee bit later, so there is really no room for complacency.
Could you mention the concept/amount of congestion cost per day that they have computed for Bangalore city to your post.
After all money is the main language Mumbai speaks and understands- more than even Marathi, Hindi or English.
Sorry for the long comment- pls. delete if so. Too tired to write/link on my blog.
Hello,
The Congestion Cost calculated is a very conservative estimate. The paper can be found at
http://www.cleanairnet.org/caiasia/1412/article-72398.html
Sudhir
Deepa - Very thought-provoking - and relevant - comment. I don't think you're sounding melodramatic at all. The way Mumbaikars have forgotten 26/7 is too convenient for their own likes. And yes, the day nature hits back, it will be ugly. But I guess we'll forget even then and move on, while our politicians will be too busy grabbing all the land they can. They wouldn't stop even if Mumbai becomes a ghost city. Sudhir has been kind enough to post a link on the issue you'd asked, hope you've seen it. Thanks for the comment, do blog on that "private transport creates isolation" - brilliant thought.
Sudhir - thanks very much for your visit and for that link.
Your article looks pretty true. but still I may plan for Bang.
ba - did you know that there is a mumbai transformation projects (MTP) group. our org was invited by them to help on the education projects.
they have an online tracking system on http://www.ors.missionmumbai.org/index.asp
i am thinking that this is part of sanjay ubale (OSD, mumbai projects) team.
on their reports link, you can look for the projects and their status. a good start for one to make such data available.
but other than appointing consultants, all other tasks are well behind schedule :-)
Prayas - Thanks for the comment
CSM - Thanks a ton for that site, I didn't even know it existed and - I agree with you - it's great that the site is even there, even if all the projects are running behind schedule (some how I think we already knew that!). Thanks as always for your comment.
Actually I had read the pdf file before I posted my earlier comment. I found it within the link you have given in your post and that is how I came to know of the congestion cost. I suggested as I thought some readers may not dig deep. But thanks and to Sudhir too for both replies.
I think the landscape will change and for the better. Only what is the price it will extract is a disquieting thought sometimes.
P.S Just noted that the City Fix item does not show a trackback url to Mumbai Matters.
Deepa - It will be a heavy price. And yes, I noticed that there wasn't any trackback. Not sure why. Thanks for the re-visit!
BA - I don't see how anyone who lives in Bombay can claim that there has been investment in roads at the cost of public transport. The fact is that there has been no investment in any kind of transport infrastructure, be it road or rail. Am sure you can pull out statistics to show that Bombay has far fewer lane kms of roads per capita, or even per sq km of area than any other major global city - the BWSL is a tiny 6 km 6 lane spur which achieves nothing. Given the taxes Bombayites pay (and remember that car owners pay a disproprotionate share of the same), we deserve better.
People seem to always crib about the flyovers - but there has been no major flyover built since the time the BJP-SS government was voted out several years ago (few of those started by that government were completed subsequently, and despite all the fanfare about new flyovers, the only one on which work has started is the domestic airport flyover). Further, the toll collection for the SS flyovers has been far in excess of estimates - and the use of electronic road pricing will make building roads easily self financable.
The other favorite idea for most people seems to be to say that create new cities - but in Bombay, we don't like to live in new cities (ask me, I grew up in the distant suburbs, but moved to Central Bombay as soon as I could afford the rent) - and the fact is that highrise, dense development with concentrated office space is ideal for the use of public transport -
So what should we do - build the entire West Island Freeway - also build the Pedder Rd flyover (in fact given the delay, we should make it a triple decker road - Tokyo style), and perhaps one over Tardeo - and similar links over ambedkar road, and along the eastern sea front. Build the metro too - all of this will cost far less than Chidambaram's loan waiver for lazy farmers.
UI - Long time no see bro. Thanks for the comment and I agree with most of what you have to say. I don't think I wanted to say that road infrastructure has come at the cost of public transport. The broader point - as you pointed out - is that there's been no investment in transport infrastructure. My problem is with the thinking that keeps adding infrastructure after development of the city. So, if I use your own example, if higher FSI is granted and Mumbai goes higher and concentrated and dense, without those freeways, metros and other transport, then I'm sure you can imagine the scene. The Mills Land is already an existing example for us to see. Let's talk again when Indiabulls One comes up and what the traffic scenes are then. You can already see what happens at the Phoenix/Peninsular junction during rush hour. Another thing: those two flyovers built on that same road has reduced road below. Therefore, any traffic that has to go to any of the offices in all the mills has barely one/two lanes to navigate below. The resultant chaos is there for anyone to see. And I'm not even talking about parking. I still think we need to build more Mumbais. But then who knows what our planners are thinking about!
Bal Thackeray, Uddhav Thackeray & Raj Thackeray instead of pointing fingers at others they should instead first discolse what they have done for Maharashtra. Have the Thackerays utilized atleast 10% of their huge wealth in setting up industries in any backward district of Maharashtra. Manohar Joshi & Raj Thackeray have jointly purchased a former textile plot worth 300 crores in Parel but why did manohar and raj not utilzed this same money in setting up industries in backward districts of maharashtra.
The Shiv Sena (of which Raj Thackeray was an active member for more than 15 years) have been ruling the BMC for more than 20 years but why did the shiv sena not prevent the UP & Bihari migrants from encroaching open spaces to built slums in Mumbai and why did the Shiv Sena which came to power in 1995 came up with a policy of giving free flats of 225 sq. ft. to the UPs and biharis which resulted in more slums in mumbai. The shiv sena is majorly responsible for converting mumbai to slumbai.
If the Thackerays are concerned about maharashtrians then why have they not encouraged maharashtrians to become entrepreneurs/businessmen instead of encouraging maharashtrians to become only job-seekers.
Ramesh Pawar
Mumbai.
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